Solana faces resistance but shows potential for bullish price recovery.
Declining on-chain activity challenges momentum despite strong DEX market dominance.
Solana (SOL) continues to navigate a turbulent market, trading at $186, reflecting a 3.3% decline in the past 24 hours, with trading volumes dropping 17% over the same period. Over the past month, SOL has seen a 21% dip, raising concerns about its short-term prospects. The asset recently tested a support level of $175, triggering speculation about a potential rebound.
Technical indicators paint a mixed picture for SOL. The daily RSI stands at 37, suggesting oversold conditions. Historical patterns show that SOL’s price often recovers from similar lows. Analysts highlight parallels between Solana’s current trajectory and Bitcoin’s early 2024 rally, when BTC surged from $47,080 to $74,000. If SOL replicates this trend, it could target resistance levels near $248.44, potentially climbing as high as $328.98.
Despite these optimistic projections, Solana faces significant hurdles. On-chain activity has dropped sharply, with DApp volumes declining by 30% over the past week. Memecoins, a major draw for Solana users, have underperformed. Tokens like Popcat, Dogwifhat, and BONK saw monthly declines of 42%, 40%, and 25%, respectively, underscoring waning network demand.
However, Solana maintains a strong position in the decentralized exchange (DEX) market, boasting a trading volume of over $100 billion in recent months—surpassing Ethereum, Binance Smart Chain, and other rivals. Additionally, the total value locked (TVL) on Solana reached a two-year high of 44 million SOL, signaling underlying network resilience.
Renewed SOL Bullish Momentum?
In the derivatives market, professional traders remain cautiously optimistic. SOL’s futures premium stands at 10%, indicating neutral-to-bullish sentiment despite the recent price drop.
While short-term outlooks remain uncertain, Solana’s historical resilience and strong DEX performance suggest the potential for recovery. Traders will be closely monitoring the $175 support level and broader market cues for signs of renewed bullish momentum.
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